League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2020 at 7pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Rochdale

Moore (35', 82'), Shodipo (58')
Henry (72'), Clare (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lund (42' pen.)
Ryan (45'), Rathbone (56')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Rochdale
59.57%	23.68%	16.75%

Both teams to score 44.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13%

54.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84%

76.16%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83%

18.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84%

49.15%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.96%

46.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.25%

81.75%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 59.56%

Rochdale 16.75%

Draw 23.67%

Oxford United	Draw	Rochdale
1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.08% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.56%	1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.67%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.52% 1-3 @ 1.11% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.75%