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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 30.96% | 28.33% | 40.7% |
| Both teams to score 45.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.9% | 60.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.69% | 80.31% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% | 35.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% | 72.01% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% | 28.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% | 64.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.7% |