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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 35.37% | 25.97% | 38.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% | 62.72% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% | 25.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% | 60.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3% Total : 35.37% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.65% |