League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
4 - 2
Burton Albion

Stevens (7'), Pitman (31'), Baudry (35'), Smith (60')
Payne (34'), Fryers (45'), Smith (58')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Quinn (40'), Akins (77')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Burton Albion.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Burton Albion
46.39%	24.72%	28.88%

Both teams to score 55.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15%

46.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89%

69.1%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39%

52.61%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11%

29.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.01%

65.99%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 46.4%

Burton Albion 28.88%

Draw 24.72%

Swindon Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 4.96% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.88%

League One

Swindon4 - 2Burton Albion

Data Analysis

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Swindon
4 - 2
Burton Albion