League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Stevens (19')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pigott (28')
McLoughlin (66')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
51.63%	24.84%	23.52%

Both teams to score 50.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.67%

51.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85%

73.15%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13%

19.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02%

51.97%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37%

36.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.59%

73.41%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 51.62%

AFC Wimbledon 23.52%

Draw 24.84%

Swindon Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 9.5% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.62%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.52%