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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 46.22% | 25.74% | 28.03% |
| Both teams to score 52.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% | 51.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% | 73.41% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% | 22.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% | 55.78% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% | 69.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.03% |