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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 38.19% | 27.85% | 33.96% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.17% | 57.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.45% | 78.55% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.29% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% | 31.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% | 68.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.95% |