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EFL Cup

Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Accrington

Akins (32')
Eardley (81')
FT
(aet)
Burgess (82')
Burton Albion win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Burton Albion and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
43.51%25.83%30.66%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3%50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.6%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82%23.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93%57.07%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.51%
    Accrington Stanley 30.66%
    Draw 25.83%
Burton AlbionDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.66%

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