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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 33.64% | 26.7% | 39.66% |
| Both teams to score 51.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% | 53.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% | 29.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% | 66.07% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% | 26.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% | 61.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.66% |