Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.