Ukrainian Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
 

1-0

Budkivskyi (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cherkasy 2-0 Luhansk
Saturday, December 13 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 3-2 Karpaty
Saturday, December 13 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.88% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
26.78%26.88%46.33%
Both teams to score 47.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3%56.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34%77.66%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28%36.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49%73.51%
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11%58.89%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 26.78%
    Karpaty Lviv 46.33%
    Draw 26.87%
Zorya LuhanskDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.78%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 12.64%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 8.91%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 46.33%

Head to Head
May 25, 2025 4pm
gameweek 30
Karpaty
1-3
Luhansk
Baboglo (17')
Jordan (25'), Micin (57'), Slesar (73')
Dryshliuk (26'), (70'), Budkivskyi (70')
Dec 2, 2024 4pm
gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Micin (69', 80')
Slesar (40'), Budkivskyi (42'), Dryshliuk (65'), Basic (84'), Miroshnichenko (84')
Polehenko (20' pen.)
Kostenko (46'), Pedroso (74'), Alvarez Garcia (77'), Micin (84'), Baboglo (84')
Nov 30, 2019 12pm
gameweek 16
Luhansk
2-0
Karpaty
Vernydub (54'), Rusyn (87')
Ivanisenya (58'), Lednev (63'), Abu Hanna (66')

Martins (56'), Deda (59')
Aug 25, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Di Franco (67'), Ponde (67')
Budkivskyi (58')
Kamenyuka (52'), Ivanisenia (67'), Khomchenovskiy (79'), Bily (85'), Budkivskyi (89')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Khomchenovskiy (16'), Gordienko (71')
Araujo Da Silva (66'), Kharatin (91'), Tymchyk (93')
Shved (34')
Ponde (50'), Miroshnichenko (68'), Carrascal (76')