Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.88% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.