League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

ABAX Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 1
Swindon

Clarke-Harris (48', 69' pen.), Broom (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Payne (6')
Baudry (44'), Caddis (68'), Grounds (90+1')

Coverage of the League One clash between Peterborough United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Swindon Town
50.28%	24.99%	24.73%

Both teams to score 51.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.12%

50.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.24%

72.76%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75%

20.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42%

52.58%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69%

35.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94%

72.06%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 50.28%

Swindon Town 24.73%

Draw 24.98%

Peterborough United	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.12% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.28%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.73%