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EFL Cup

Swindon Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Charlton Athletic

Swindon
1 - 3
Charlton

Smith (64')
Doughty (74'), Odimayo (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonne (36'), Barker (74'), Aneke (90')
Oztumer (23')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Swindon Town and Charlton Athletic.

The Match

Team News

Jonny Williams and Conor Washington miss out for the Addicks.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCharlton Athletic
50.11%24.93%24.96%
Both teams to score 52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54%50.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61%72.39%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57%52.43%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.1%
    Charlton Athletic 24.96%
    Draw 24.92%
Swindon TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.07%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.96%

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