League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Nov 3, 2020 at 7pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
4 - 2
Swindon

Jephcott (6', 25'), Edwards (7'), Grant (89')
Fornah (14'), Hardie (76')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Hope (10'), Grant (23')
Payne (4'), Smith (38'), Smith (62')
Smith (45+4')

Coverage of the League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swindon Town
44.32%	26.06%	29.62%

Both teams to score 52.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92%

52.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19%

73.81%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.39%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95%

32.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49%

68.51%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 44.31%

Swindon Town 29.63%

Draw 26.05%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.31%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.63%