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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 39.18% | 26.25% | 34.56% |
| Both teams to score 53.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% | 51.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% | 73.23% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% | 25.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% | 28.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% | 64.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.18% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.56% |