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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 37.85% | 27.45% | 34.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% | 56.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% | 77.26% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% | 64.56% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% | 66.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.7% |