League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Dec 12, 2020 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 1
Northampton

Dale (53'), Wintle (90+4')
Pickering (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Holmes (3')
Bolger (15'), Martin (26')
Martin (70')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Northampton Town
50.16%	23.91%	25.93%

Both teams to score 56.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.66%

45.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33%

67.68%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87%

18.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9%

49.1%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68%

31.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32%

67.68%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 50.16%

Northampton Town 25.93%

Draw 23.9%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.59% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.93%

League One

Crewe2 - 1Northampton

Data Analysis

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Crewe
2 - 1
Northampton