Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Atangana (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
53.29%23.31%23.41%
Both teams to score 55.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98%45.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63%67.37%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15%16.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14%46.86%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13%69.87%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.29%
    Northampton Town 23.41%
    Draw 23.3%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 5.6%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.41%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
59.1%
Draw
36.4%
Northampton Town
4.5%
22
rhs 2.0


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