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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 48.97% | 25.54% | 25.48% |
| Both teams to score 50.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% | 74.17% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% | 54.47% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% | 72.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.48% |