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Championship header 2

League Two

Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Blundell Park
Exeter City

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Exeter

Hendrie (31')
Hendrie (36'), Rose (50')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bowman (20'), Williams (40', 44'), Jay (68')
Key (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawExeter City
28.63%25.83%45.54%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44%32.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91%69.09%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37%22.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74%56.26%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 28.63%
    Exeter City 45.54%
    Draw 25.83%
Grimsby TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-1 @ 6.89%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.63%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.94%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.5%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.54%

rhs 2.0


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