Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.