Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.