Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.96% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.