Women's Super League
Dec 14, 2025 at 12pm UK
 

6-1

Shaw (37', 45+2', 84', 90+4'), Fujino (62'), Miedema (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Parker (70')
Coverage of the Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 6-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 14 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 6-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 14 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.96% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%) , while for a Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
68.74%17.96%13.31%
Both teams to score 54.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.69%37.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.48%59.52%
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.14%9.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.3%32.7%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60%40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35%76.65%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 68.73%
    Aston Villa Women 13.31%
    Draw 17.96%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 4.73%
4-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.43%
5-0 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 68.73%
1-1 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.44%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 3.84%
0-1 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.36%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 13.31%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 12pm
gameweek 12
Aston Villa
2-4
Man City
Grant (6'), Aleixandri (46' og.)
Nobbs (48')
Miedema (28', 35'), Fowler (54'), Park (62')
Oct 20, 2024 12.15pm
gameweek 5
Man City
2-1
Aston Villa
Hemp (62'), Roord (70')
Nunes da Silva (20')
May 18, 2024 3pm
gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-2
Man City
Daly (68')
Parker (90+1')
Fowler (21'), Hemp (77')
Dec 9, 2023 12pm
gameweek 9
Man City
2-1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')