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Crewe Alexandra
League One | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
4 - 2
Swindon

Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
44.47%25.76%29.77%
Both teams to score 53.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54%56.46%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74%31.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39%67.61%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.47%
    Swindon Town 29.78%
    Draw 25.75%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.47%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
3-1
Crewe
Hunt (32'), Yates (69'), Rose (72')
Caddis (80'), Woolery (95')
Anene (61')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 14
Crewe
3-1
Swindon
Porter (59', 90'), Kirk (94')
Doyle (37')
Woolery (76'), Rose (78'), Lyden (80'), Doyle (83')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
1-2
Crewe
Doughty (63' pen.)
Dunne (34'), Woolfenden (95')
Porter (3', 45')
Green (58'), Wintle (62'), Porter (66'), Kirk (68'), Lowery (89'), Hunt (96')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
1-0
Swindon
Kirk (30')
Jones (47'), Ainley (80')

Nelson (12')
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Swindon
4-3
Crewe
Richards (3', 89'), Elsnik (66', 79')
Preston (87'), Richards (90'), Anderson (90')
Ainley (15', 29'), Wintle (51')
McKirdy (24'), Kirk (58'), Bakayogo (61'), Richards (67'), Garratt (84')
Bakayogo (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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