League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Dec 1, 2020 at 7pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
4 - 2
Swindon

Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Swindon Town
44.47%	25.76%	29.77%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22%

50.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33%

72.67%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23%

22.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54%

56.46%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74%

31.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39%

67.61%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 44.47%

Swindon Town 29.78%

Draw 25.75%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.78%

League One

Crewe4 - 2Swindon

Data Analysis

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Crewe
4 - 2
Swindon