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FA Cup

Cheltenham Town
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 28, 2020 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road
Crewe Alexandra

Cheltenham
2 - 1
Crewe

Azaz (2'), Lloyd (94')
Freestone (30'), May (80')
FT
(aet)
Porter (63')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Cheltenham Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
46.02%25.33%28.64%
Both teams to score 53.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.42%49.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.39%71.61%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.62%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 46.01%
    Crewe Alexandra 28.64%
    Draw 25.33%
Cheltenham TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 28.64%