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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2020 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Mellish (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
33.92%27.56%38.53%
Both teams to score 48.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28%56.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33%77.68%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62%64.38%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 33.91%
    Cheltenham Town 38.52%
    Draw 27.56%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.91%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.52%

rhs 2.0


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