Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 33.92% | 27.56% | 38.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% | 56.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% | 77.68% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% | 31.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.18% | 67.82% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% | 64.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 7.05% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.52% |