League Two Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 45'+3' goal
  • goal Will Boyle 15'
  • goal Conor Thomas 36'

Carlisle United vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2020 7.00pm
Carlisle 3 - 2 Newport
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2020 6.00pm
Oldham 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 33.92%
Draw 27.56%
Cheltenham Town 38.53%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.28%
Under 2.5 56.73%
Over 3.5 22.33%
Under 3.5 77.68%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 68.56%
Under 0.5 31.44%
Over 1.5 32.18%
Under 1.5 67.82%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.42%
Under 0.5 28.59%
Over 1.5 35.62%
Under 1.5 64.38%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 33.91%
Draw 27.56%
Cheltenham Town 38.52%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.52%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Gethin Jones 46' yellowcard
  • goal Reuben Reid 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 30'
League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ben Tozer 7' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 15' goal
  • Luke Varney 45' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Scougall 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Iredale 43'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thomas 56'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Jamie Devitt 49' goal
  • Hallam Hope 56' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Alcock 35'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
  • Jordon Forster 21' yellowcard
  • Josh Debayo 43' yellowcard
  • Will Boyle 59' yellowcard
  • Ben Tozer 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 32'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 36'
  • goal Richie Bennett 39'
League Two
Mar 30, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jerrell Sellars 24' yellowcard
  • Taylor Moore 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 29'
  • yellowcard Mark Ellis 33'
  • yellowcard Richie Bennett 45'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 61'
  • goal Jamie Devitt 74'
League Two
Aug 19, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • 0' goal
  • Harry Pell 5' goal
  • Reggie Lambe 18' goal
  • Tom Miller 60' goal
  • Mark Ellis 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Pell 59'