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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 8, 2020 at 12.45pm UK
The SKYex Community Stadium
Carlisle United

Hayes & Yeading United
2 - 2
Carlisle

Rowe (104'), Nasha (108')
Williams (17'), Rowe (40'), McDevitt (72'), Sheppard (85')
FT
(aet)
Mellish (118', 120+1')
Patrick (9'), Furman (77')
Carlisle win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hayes & Yeading and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hayes & Yeading United had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Hayes & Yeading United win it was 2-1 (5.46%).

Result
Hayes & YeadingDrawCarlisle United
20.45%21.72%57.83%
Both teams to score 56.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
Hayes & Yeading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.98%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.3%70.7%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.9%14.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.28%41.72%
Score Analysis
    Hayes & Yeading 20.45%
    Carlisle United 57.83%
    Draw 21.71%
Hayes & YeadingDrawCarlisle United
2-1 @ 5.46%
1-0 @ 5.17%
2-0 @ 2.79%
3-1 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.45%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-1 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 9.2%
1-3 @ 6.48%
0-3 @ 6.01%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.71%
1-5 @ 1.24%
0-5 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 57.83%