League Two Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2020 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Lewis Alessandra 15' goal
  • Rodney McDonald 48' yellowcard
  • Jon Mellish 68' goal
  • Jon Mellish 81' goal
  • yellowcard Joss Labadie 22'
  • goal Jamie Devitt 84'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 90'+2'

Carlisle United vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2020 1.00pm
Exeter 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jon Mellish

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
Newport 2 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 34.12%
Draw 27.67%
Newport County 38.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.87%
Under 2.5 57.13%
Over 3.5 22%
Under 3.5 78%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 68.49%
Under 0.5 31.51%
Over 1.5 32.1%
Under 1.5 67.9%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 71.03%
Under 0.5 28.96%
Over 1.5 35.14%
Under 1.5 64.85%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 34.12%
Draw 27.67%
Newport County 38.2%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.67%
Newport County
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 38.2%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Omari Patrick 5' goal
  • Joshua Kayode 33' goal
  • Aaron Hayden 45' yellowcard
  • Nick Anderton 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Gorman 32'
  • redcard Ryan Inniss 44'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ryan Haynes 42' yellowcard
  • Kyle Howkins 65' yellowcard
  • George Nurse 96' goal
  • yellowcard Mike Jones 93'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade (Newport (Casnewydd))
  • Adebayo Azeez 14' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 44' yellowcard
  • Padraig Amond 67' goal
  • Joss Labadie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gerrard 59'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thomas 92'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 3, 2018 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
  • Jamie Devitt 9' goal
  • Jamie Devitt 12' goal
  • Danny Grainger 90' goal
  • Danny Grainger 90' yellowcard
  • goal Padraig Amond 39'
  • goal Dan Butler 87'
League Two
May 5, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mark Ellis 14' goal
  • goal Padraig Amond 38'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 78'
League Two
Dec 9, 2017 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shawn McCoulsky 43' goal
  • M. Dolan 56' goal
  • F. Nouble 65' yellowcard
  • M. Dolan 69' goal
  • Robbie Willmott 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Joyce 46'
  • goal Kelvin Etuhu 52'
  • goal Tom Miller 62'