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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Newport County |
| 35.9% | 28.09% | 36.01% |
| Both teams to score 47.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% | 79.16% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.01% |