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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 37.97% | 27.57% | 34.46% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% | 56.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% | 77.65% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.46% |