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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 39.51% | 29.2% | 31.3% |
| Both teams to score 43.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.07% | 62.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.59% | 82.41% |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% | 36.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% | 73.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.5% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.29% |