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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Newport County |
| 28.79% | 26.84% | 44.37% |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% | 55.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.68% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.17% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% | 24.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% | 59.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.79% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.37% |