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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 20.62% | 24.74% | 54.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% | 75.32% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% | 40.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.52% | 77.48% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% | 19.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% | 51.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% 2-1 @ 5.22% 2-0 @ 3.21% 3-1 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.22% Total : 20.62% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.51% 0-3 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.64% |