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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 33.56% | 29.32% | 37.12% |
| Both teams to score 43.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.01% | 62.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% | 82.46% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% | 34.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% | 71.69% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 12.76% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.11% |