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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 37.35% | 26.01% | 36.63% |
| Both teams to score 54.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% | 50.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% | 72.18% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% | 26.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.26% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% | 26.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% | 61.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.63% |