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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 60.18% | 22.25% | 17.56% |
| Both teams to score 49.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% | 48.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% | 70.27% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% | 15.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% | 44.51% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% | 41.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% | 77.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.22% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.69% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.56% |