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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 59.85% | 22.62% | 17.53% |
| Both teams to score 48.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% | 16.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% | 45.69% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.03% | 41.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.59% | 78.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.9% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.53% |