League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 4
Bristol Rovers

Pigott (5' pen.), Heneghan (30')
Nightingale (11'), Guinness-Walker (50')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Nicholson (14', 64'), Hanlan (25', 45+1')

Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Bristol Rovers
33.43%	27.36%	39.2%

Both teams to score 49.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94%

56.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86%

77.13%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2%

67.79%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12%

27.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51%

63.48%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 33.42%

Bristol Rovers 39.19%

Draw 27.36%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.42%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.19%

League One

AFC Wimbledon2 - 4Bristol Rovers

Data Analysis

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