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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 44.56% | 26.34% | 29.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% | 74.97% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% | 23.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% | 58.07% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% | 33.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.71% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.1% |