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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
| 40.25% | 26.05% | 33.69% |
| Both teams to score 53.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% | 50.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.62% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% | 24.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% | 59.42% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% | 64.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.69% |