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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
53.67% | 24.05% | 22.28% |
Both teams to score 51.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% | 49.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% | 71.4% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% | 18.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% | 49.4% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% | 36.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.53% | 73.47% |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.68% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |