League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Dec 15, 2020 at 7pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 1
Plymouth

Kirk (22'), Dale (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jephcott (85')
Fornah (17')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
53.67%	24.05%	22.28%

Both teams to score 51.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65%

49.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6%

71.4%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69%

18.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6%

49.4%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.31%

36.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.53%

73.47%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 53.66%

Plymouth Argyle 22.28%

Draw 24.04%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.68% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.66%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.28%