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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rochdale |
| 59.13% | 22.53% | 18.35% |
| Both teams to score 50.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% | 48.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% | 70.23% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% | 15.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.86% | 45.14% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% | 40.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% | 76.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 6.04% 4-0 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.83% 1-2 @ 4.9% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.09% Total : 18.35% |