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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 39.74% | 28.47% | 31.79% |
| Both teams to score 45.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% | 80.53% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% | 29.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.29% | 65.7% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% | 34.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.45% | 71.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.79% |