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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 42.08% | 27.2% | 30.71% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% | 56.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% | 77.17% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% | 61.45% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% | 33.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% | 69.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.71% |