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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 65% | 21.18% | 13.82% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.58% | 50.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% | 72.35% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% | 14.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% | 43.03% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.52% | 47.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.16% | 82.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 6.09% 4-0 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.27% 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 64.99% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.18% | 0-1 @ 5.23% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 13.82% |