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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 45.14% | 26.3% | 28.56% |
| Both teams to score 50.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% | 53.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% | 75.06% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% | 23.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% | 57.74% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% | 70.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.56% |