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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 67.04% | 19.31% | 13.65% |
| Both teams to score 50.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% | 42.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% | 65.22% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.16% | 11.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.91% | 37.09% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.98% | 43.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% | 79.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.59% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.25% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 4.4% 4-1 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 2.94% 5-0 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.52% Total : 67.04% | 1-1 @ 9.17% 0-0 @ 5.09% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.31% | 0-1 @ 4.29% 1-2 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.65% |