Swindon

2 - 1

Crewe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.