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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Rochdale |
| 72.66% | 17.55% | 9.79% |
| Both teams to score 43.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% | 45.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% | 67.42% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.04% | 10.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.78% | 51.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.51% | 85.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-0 @ 13.72% 1-0 @ 12.41% 3-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 3.74% 5-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.6% Total : 72.66% | 1-1 @ 8.31% 0-0 @ 5.62% 2-2 @ 3.07% Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 2.78% 0-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.79% |