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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
50.22% | 24.22% | 25.55% |
Both teams to score 54.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% | 47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% | 18.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% | 50.14% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% | 32.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% | 69.04% |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.22% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 75 | 39 | 36 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 86 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 81 | 48 | 33 | 83 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 80 |
5 | Barnsley | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 79 | 60 | 19 | 75 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 76 | 54 | 22 | 73 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 71 |
8 | Blackpool | 44 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 70 |
9 | Stevenage | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 67 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 62 |
11 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 59 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 58 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 58 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 56 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 52 |
17 | Reading | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 47 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 46 |
20 | Burton Albion | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 43 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 41 |
22 | Port Vale | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 40 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 45 | 72 | -27 | 37 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |